Monday, 30 May 2016

What did we learn from three weeks of the Giro?

Io squalo di Messina

Never discount lo squalo di Messina.

His performance on stages 19 and 20 will go down in the modern day Giro history books as one of the best tactical rides. Especially after the Italian media had all but written him off.  

Vincenzo Nibali (Astana) was the favourite to win his fourth grand tour.  Even though he came into the Giro without any solid race results under his belt.

His performance during the main lead up race to the Giro, il Giro del Trentino, was lacklustre at best.

It did not go well for Nibali from the start. There was talk of illness and blood tests, his mind was too focused on the next pay cheque from a new Bahrain team in 2017, or the crank was wrong size.

Nibali refused to let media reports cloud his focus over the two key stages in the Alps.

At the start of the stage 19, Nibali was down 4.43 minutes down on Kruijswijk and sitting in fourth place.  For the next two stages, Nibali dug deep and attacked at the right moments, passing Valverde and Kruijswijk in the GC classification. He was however helped by Kruijswijk’s crash coming off the top of Colle dell'Agnello.
Sitting in second place, lo squalo was now only 43 seconds with one mountain stage to go.  But had he gone too deep?  Was he going to crack on the Lombarda? A normal cyclist may have, but not Nibali.  He attacked Chaves, dug deep, attacked again and by the end of the stage he was in pink.  

For Chaves, Valverde and Kruijswijk, the fight for pink was over.   

Bob Jungels establishes himself as a future grand tour winner

Luxembourg has a rich history of road cycling. Somehow the flat land has developed some champion cyclists like Charly Gaul and Andy Schleck.

Well it looks like Luxembourg has found its next grand tour winner in Bob Jungels

As an ex-national TT champion, Jungels finished 7th in the ITT on stage 1 and followed up with 6th in the mountain ITT on stage 9. He completed well in bunch sprints. He also helped Kruijswijk in the mountains with his attacks, but also kept in his GC top10 as well.

Jungels came in 6th overall, 1st in the Young Rider Classification and held the pink jersey between stages 10-12. Not bad for a rider who is only 23 years old.

A rider with a huge future. To be a proper GC contender he will have to build on his mountain climbing abilities. But at 23, he has plenty of time for that.

Next year, the team will surely be pencilling him in as one of the riders for the Tour de France.

The Colombian army march continues

Is there a country that has produced more exciting climbers in world cycling over the last 10 years than Colombia?  

Urãn, Betancur, Arredondo and Quintana have demonstrated their grand tour stripes with their climbing abilities.

And then comes along Esteban Chaves who continues the Colombian army’s march into Europe. He won stage 13 and showed his climbing abilities in the Dolomites and the Alps.   

Chaves got into the pink jersey by the end of stage 19 with a small gap of 44 seconds over Nibali.

Unfortunately for Chaves, he did not have super-domestique like Scarponi in his team and those 44 seconds were not enough to hold out Nibali.  Maybe next year.
  
But the wave of Colombian cyclists wowing the crowds on the sides of mountains does not stop at Chaves.  Egan Bernal’s early performances suggests he is a name to remember as the next Colombian cyclist to come through.

Ciccone may be the next big Italian climber

Giulio Ciccone from Bardiani-CSF escaped from Cunego and Pirazzi to win the first high mountain stage.  What made Ciccone's stage win special was he only signed a professional contract four months before after being Bardiani’s stagiaire in late 2015.

Ciccone comes from a climbing pedigree after winning the mountain classification in the Giro della Valle d’Aosta in 2015. A race won twice by Fabio Aru.

I am sure if you trawl through the cycling history books you will not find too many first year cyclists that win a stage at a grand tour let alone a cyclist that is only four months into their cycling career.

Unfortunately for Ciccone, a gastrointestinal problem worsened and he had to withdraw before the start of stage 19. So he did not get to finish his first grand tour

Ciccone’s stage win will be enough to make the world tour teams stand up and mark him down as a future prospect to watch.

Kruijswijk will not forget stage 19

As the riders started arriving to start the 99th edition of the Giro in Holland, LottoNL-Jumbo was not of the high profile teams that was likely to win a stage let alone having a rider in the maglia rosa over the event.   

Step forward Steven Kruijswijk.  He came to the start line in Apeldoorn hoping to get in the top 5. Suddenly by the third week and after the third and final rest day, Kruijswijk was in a commanding position
He wore the maglia rosa for five days.  On the sixth, he controlled the peloton on the climb to the top of Colle dell’Agnello.  He was the strongest rider and was only two stages away from the biggest win of his career.  The altitude training over the winter had paid off.

Kruijswijk misjudged the turn and the descent of the Agnello and ploughed into a snow bank. The jersey was lost there.

We don't like to see the jersey leaders crash and lose the lead.  But this is professional racing.

Who can forget Trentin's win

Do we remember the times when riders did not wear race radios?  Moreno Moser will certainly not forget and will curse his radio was broken on stage 18.  Coming into the finish line in Pinerolo, Moser only had to beat fellow Italian, Brambilla, to claim the stage win.  

What Moser could not hear after coming off the Pramartino was his team yelling down the race radio that Matteo Trentin was closing in. Fortunately for Etixx, Brambilla could hear his team and a look over the shoulder saw Trentino streaming down.

With 200 metres left before the finish line, Trentino comes powering along with jersey zipped undone to sprint to victory.  What an amazing finish to the stage.

In summary this Giro has been packed with drama and emotion since riders rolled off the start line in Holland. Like I say every year, this Giro was better than the last.

Three riders in pink in the last four stages of the Giro.  It only proves that the fight for pink is the grandest of the Grand Tours.  

The Tour de France has a lot to live up to be as exciting as the Giro.  We only have 32 sleeps to find out.

Friday, 27 May 2016

Kruijswijk lost the maglia rosa and now lost the Giro

Steven Kruijswijk started Stage 19 of the giro in the maglia rosa and a lead of 3 minutes over second placed Esteban Chaves. All that he had to do to win the giro was to stay upright over the next two stages and he would be the first Dutch rider to win the Giro.

Fast forward to the end of stage 19 and after a dramatic stage, where Kruijswijk crashed on the descent of the Colle dell'Agnello, had problems with his bike after it flipped several times requiring a bike change. He struggled to finish the stage coming in 4.54 minutes after Nibali.

With hours to go before the start of stage 20 - Guillestre to Sant’Anna di Vinadio, I am calling it now that Kruijswijk will not recover and retake the maglia rosa before the final stage into Torino.

Why have I reached this conclusion given that Kruijswijk was the strongest rider to reach the top of the Cima Coppi - Colle dell'Agnello?

Well, Kruijswijk hit the snow bank in the descent of the Agnello head first,  somersaulting before finally getting up. The cuts and grazes hide the true state of his injuries with x-rays later revealing a fractured rib. He is quoted in cyclingnews stating “My body hurts like hell and so it’s all over”.

Photo: Herald Sun

We still do not know if he will start the stage in Guillestre tonight. The team will make the decision in the morning French time. Even if he does start he will not have slept well. His injuries will hamper his ability to get over the three climbs, especially with Nibali and Valverde attacking to unhinge the maglia rosa from Chaves’ back.

To win a three week grand tour you need a strong team around you. Look how Nibali won yesterday's stage to Risoul with Scarponi getting in the breakaway. This allowed the team to call him back to help Nibali. Similarly Orica-GreenEdge did the same with Plaza to help Chaves.

Kruijswijk has the weakest team of the three possible contenders - Chaves, Nibali and Valverde. LottoNL-Jumbo rarely get riders in the breakaway in the mountain stages. Their only hope is for LottoNL to get their strongest rider, Enrico Battaglin, in a breakaway on the first mountain climb, allowing him to be called back to assist Kruijswijk as he goes on the attack.

Kruijswijk also does not have a strong team to drive the peloton to pierce the armour, as Robbie McEwen explained last night, and soften up Chaves by making one hell of a momentous attack on Colle della Lombarda.  Therefore, Kruijswijk is likely to be isolated on the first or second mountain climb, struggling with his injuries.  

I am sure no one wants to lose a race, let alone a grand tour, because of a crash. But that is professional racing. To win a grand tour you have to time trial, climb a series of mountains and also descend them.

Unfortunately for Kruijswijk, the crash on the descent of the Colle dell'Agnello has lost him the race, not only the lead. As he said, it was a silly mistake.

Sunday, 22 May 2016

Will Chaves’ win lead to a change in strategy for Orica-GreenEdge?

Esteban Chaves from Orica-GreenEdge (Orica) won stage 14 of the Giro d’Italia through the Italian dolomites region.  In winning the marathon 214km stage, Chaves became the first Orica rider to win a true mountain stage in a grand tour, which has been described as the toughest stage on the cycling calendar this year.


Photo credit: Cyclingnews.com


What was truly amazing about Chaves’ win, was he did it without the assistance from his teammates, unlike Movistar and Astana, which had their teams fully supporting Valverde and Nibali respectively.


Chaves is only 26 years, but yesterday's win showed he has the climbing pedigree to win a grand tour. He is also a capable timetrialler too. This is not Chaves' first win. He also won two stages at the Vuelta a España last year, further emphasising his abilities. But can he win this year’s Giro?


Orica was only admitted to the UCI World Tour series since 2012. In five short years, the team has been very successful, winning stages in all grand tours, including holding the yellow jersey at the Tour de France and the maglia rosa in the Giro d'Italia. The team has also been successful in winning major spring classics, like Milan-San Remo, Paris-Roubaix and Liege-Bastogne-Liege, and stages in other World Tour events across Europe and Australia.


But with all this success, Orica has never been seen as one of the favourites to win a grand tour. Nor after three weeks has it threatened to win it.


But winning the 2016 Giro d’Italia or a grand tour is unlikely to happen this year.  It is unlikely to happen in the short-term either.  The main problem for Orica surrounds its roster as it is too heavily skewed to winning stages or one day races.  It is talented with the likes of Simon Gerrans, Caleb Ewan, Daryl Impey and Michael Matthews.  But these riders will never will a grand tour.  Neither does Orica’s roster consist of six riders that are capable of supporting Chaves in the mountain stages of the three grand tours.  


Winning a grand tour will require a change in the strategic direction of Orica and a significant refresh of its rider roster.  A direction that moves away from stage wins.  


For Chaves, or any other Orica rider, to climb onto the top step after three weeks will need the support of Gerry Ryan, Orica’s owner, and Shayne Bannan, Orica’s General Manager to bring in the caliber of riders that are capable of supporting Chaves over six to seven high mountains stages. Similar to what Richie Porte and Geraint Thomas did for Bradley Wiggins and Chris Froome at Team Sky in the Tour de France.  


This means shifting the focus of grand tours from having the sole purpose of obtaining one or two stage wins by Michael 'Bling’ Matthews or Caleb Ewan. No more sprint trains. By all means, Orica should have these riders in the team fighting for stage wins.  But these riders need to help Chaves win the general classification once the race hits the mountains. Just like Rory Sutherland did on stage 14 of the Giro for Movistar.  It also means not pulling out sprinters in the Giro once the race reaches the mountains.  Selection policies for these races need to change.  If you cannot get over the high mountains, you do not make the team to support Chaves go for the general classification. This is what I am referring to a change in the direction of Orica.


Orica did not buy Richie Porte as they clearly knew that they had a rider, in Chaves, that is capable of winning a grand tour. However, they don't have the riders to support him to climb to the top of the podium after three weeks.  

The focus of Orica must shift from being a team that wins one day classics or stages in World Tour events. This needs to occur before Chaves is snapped up by Movistar, BMC or Team Sky where he will get the support to achieve his goals.